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25 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.6%
Kocaelispor
43.3%
Draw
25.1%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Kocaelispor

vs
0.68

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS30.0%
Over 0.573.9%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.518.3%
Over 3.56.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
26.1%
1-1
15.5%
1-0
15.1%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).