Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.2%
FC Koln
8.7%
Draw
4.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
3.62
FC Koln
vs
0.80
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.581.7%
Over 3.564.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
4-0
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
5-0
6.2%
5-1
5.0%
1-0
4.1%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).