Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Fulham
33.2%
Draw
26.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Fulham
vs
0.90
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).