Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.7%
Aves
22.8%
Draw
66.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Aves
vs
1.63
Porto
Markets
BTTS29.7%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-2
16.3%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
9.0%
0-3
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).