Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Augsburg
26.3%
Draw
29.4%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Augsburg
vs
1.25
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).