Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Colchester
24.7%
Draw
20.5%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Colchester
vs
0.82
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).