Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Burgos
30.1%
Draw
18.0%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Burgos
vs
0.59
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.0%
0-0
16.1%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).