Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Napoli
17.3%
Draw
9.6%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Napoli
vs
0.64
Pisa
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.7%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).