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AHT: 02CSV

27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Fylde
27.3%
Draw
46.6%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Fylde

vs
1.55

Halifax

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).