Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Frosinone
24.5%
Draw
21.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Frosinone
vs
1.14
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).