Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Niort
24.4%
Draw
37.9%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Niort
vs
1.30
Caen
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).