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12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.1%
Boreham Wood
24.3%
Draw
14.7%
Ashton Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Boreham Wood

vs
0.62

Ashton Athletic

Markets

BTTS36.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.0%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).