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28 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.2%
Dundee
19.9%
Draw
12.0%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

2.41

Dundee

vs
0.96

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
4-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).