Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Barnet
23.4%
Draw
11.0%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Barnet
vs
0.61
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).