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AHT: 11CSV

28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Barnet
25.2%
Draw
14.2%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Barnet

vs
0.71

Oldham

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).