Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Nott'm Forest
20.4%
Draw
9.2%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.61
Reading
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).