Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Hearts
19.8%
Draw
11.5%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Hearts
vs
0.93
Ayr
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).