Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
St Pauli
26.1%
Draw
16.5%
Loughborough University
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
St Pauli
vs
0.63
Loughborough University
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
13.1%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).