Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Watford
29.9%
Draw
30.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Watford
vs
1.08
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).