Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Boavista
27.2%
Draw
46.5%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Boavista
vs
1.30
Setubal
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).