Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.5%
Sp Braga
10.0%
Draw
5.5%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Sp Braga
vs
0.70
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.4%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).