Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Sunderland
18.4%
Draw
12.4%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Sunderland
vs
0.68
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).