Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Leganes
16.4%
Draw
8.8%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Leganes
vs
0.69
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
5-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).