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02 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.5%
Blackburn
28.0%
Draw
51.4%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Blackburn

vs
1.51

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
13.0%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).