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14 Sept 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Empoli
18.1%
Draw
70.1%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Empoli

vs
2.18

Juventus

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.6%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.1%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).