Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Lyon
15.6%
Draw
9.5%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Lyon
vs
0.67
Clermont
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).