Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Carrarese
25.5%
Draw
26.6%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Carrarese
vs
1.27
Pescara
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).