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13 Mar 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Gent
22.0%
Draw
29.2%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Gent

vs
1.55

Waregem

Markets

BTTS68.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).