Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Barnsley
18.5%
Draw
22.4%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Barnsley
vs
1.31
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).