Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Hamilton
31.9%
Draw
41.8%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Hamilton
vs
1.32
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).