Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.2%
Dover Athletic
12.4%
Draw
82.3%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Dover Athletic
vs
2.89
Notts County
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-3
11.6%
0-4
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.5%
0-5
4.9%
0-0
3.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).