Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
FeralpiSalo
29.2%
Draw
29.4%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
FeralpiSalo
vs
1.13
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).