Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Pacos Ferreira
30.6%
Draw
37.3%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.00
Farense
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).