Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Reggiana
30.3%
Draw
29.5%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Reggiana
vs
1.07
Avellino
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).