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DHT: 10CSV

14 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.6%
Darmstadt
19.6%
Draw
12.7%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Darmstadt

vs
0.93

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
0-0
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).