⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 12

17 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.4%
Mechelen
26.2%
Draw
38.5%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Mechelen

vs
1.43

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).