Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Paris FC
21.6%
Draw
25.0%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Paris FC
vs
1.12
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).