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01 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Anderlecht
25.6%
Draw
29.2%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Anderlecht

vs
1.23

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).