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DHT: 10CSV

20 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Sabadell
26.1%
Draw
33.8%
Sp Gijon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Sabadell

vs
1.23

Sp Gijon

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).