Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Leyton Orient
24.2%
Draw
16.3%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Leyton Orient
vs
0.68
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).