Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Burnley
28.7%
Draw
29.3%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Burnley
vs
1.23
West Brom
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).