Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Grimsby
28.2%
Draw
30.3%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Grimsby
vs
0.96
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).