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26 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.8%
Ein Frankfurt
22.2%
Draw
39.0%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Ein Frankfurt

vs
1.94

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS73.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
1-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).