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DHT: 01CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Montrose
23.1%
Draw
30.1%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Montrose

vs
1.54

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
1-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).