Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Reading
32.6%
Draw
26.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Reading
vs
0.86
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.7%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).