Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Mansfield
21.3%
Draw
15.6%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Mansfield
vs
0.70
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).