Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Albacete
28.4%
Draw
28.5%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Albacete
vs
0.96
Numancia
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).