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HHT: 11CSV

22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Halifax
21.1%
Draw
65.8%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Halifax

vs
2.12

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).