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HHT: 21CSV

19 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Chesterfield
22.3%
Draw
20.6%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Chesterfield

vs
1.21

Halifax

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).