Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Sheffield Weds
27.0%
Draw
55.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.59
Watford
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).